Ta'i's Take: Trump and the Pacific
“The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object,” said Thomas Jefferson, the American statesman, planter, diplomat, lawyer, architect, philosopher, and Founding Father who was the third President of the United States.
Now that the will of the American people is known, the next question is: What is the will of President-elect Donald J Trump likely to be for the Pacific and the world?
The ABC-Pacific experts say: US president-elect Donald Trump's expected moves "against globalism" mean the Pacific "could be left out again."
As for America, President-elect Donald Trump told NBC News that one of his first priorities upon taking office in January would be to make the border “strong and powerful.” When questioned about his campaign promise of mass deportations, Trump said his administration would have “no choice” but to carry them out.
Trump said he considers his sweeping victory over Vice President Kamala Harris a mandate "to bring common sense" to the country.
"We obviously have to make the border strong and powerful, and we have to — at the same time, we want people to come into our country," he said. "And you know, I’m not somebody that says, 'No, you can’t come in.' We want people to come in."
As a candidate, Trump had repeatedly vowed to carry out the "largest deportation effort in American history." Asked about the cost of his plan, he said, "It’s not a question of a price tag. It’s not — really, we have no choice. When people have been killed and murdered, when drug lords have destroyed countries, and now they’re going to go back to those countries because they’re not staying here. There is no price tag."
It's unclear how many undocumented immigrants there are in the U.S., but reports say that acting ICE Director Patrick J. Lechleitner told NBC News in July that a mass deportation effort would be a huge logistical and financial challenge. Two former Trump administration officials involved in immigration during his first term told NBC News that the effort would require cooperation among a number of federal agencies, including the Justice Department and the Pentagon.
As for the world, Trump has said he wants the Gaza war to end. Analysts in Israel suggest Trump will give Netanyahu the freedom to end it on Netanyahu’s preferred terms.
Senior Hamas official Basem Naim has been reported as saying that Trump’s election is a “private matter for the Americans” but said Palestinians look forward to an “immediate” end to the Gaza war.
In Gaza, reports say, some Palestinians fear the war will intensify with Trump in office.
“The strikes and the killing will continue and increase … the relationship between Trump and Netanyahu is strong,” Gaza resident Mohammed Al Hasany was reported as saying, in a market in central Gaza.
As for the Russian war on Ukraine, nothing is yet known about what lies ahead as President Joe Biden has a few weeks yet in charge.
Russia has yet to comment on Donald Trump's win as Russian President Vladimir Putin has no plans to congratulate Trump on his election victory yet, the Kremlin said on Wednesday — citing ongoing tensions with the U.S. over its military support for Ukraine.
“Let’s not forget that we’re talking about an unfriendly country that is both directly and indirectly involved in a war against our state,” said his spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, in a daily briefing with reporters.
Trump has repeatedly voiced scepticism over continued U.S. military aid to Ukraine and said he would end the war in Ukraine “in 24 hours” after his election — feeding concerns in Kyiv and European capitals that Trump plans to force a political solution unpalatable to many Ukrainians.
But the head of the foreign affairs committee in the Russian parliament, Leonid Slutsky, was quoted by the country's state-run news agency, RIA Novosti, saying that Trump's electoral victory could mean there was now "a chance for a more constructive approach to the Ukrainian conflict."
Yet Russian political observers cautioned Trump’s plans bordered on unrealistic.
On our part, we are willing to bet that Trump's boast of ending the war in Ukraine in twenty-four hours, will be one more Trumpism to add to the the large pile of other empty promises despite his pledge of 'promises made, promises kept'. But we are prepared to be absolutely surprised and to apologize - if we are wrong. Manuia le vaiaso fou.